Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 21.944346 24.874030 28.071260 31.823023 36.109502 40.859464 46.529473
2025-02-02 17.971099 22.040858 26.863536 33.015757 40.678684 49.938949 62.023906
2025-02-09 14.961443 19.559784 25.386419 33.347133 43.997269 57.832977 77.298768
2025-02-16 12.461366 17.176606 23.493598 32.634743 45.623994 63.567770 90.492286
2025-02-23 10.653652 15.367508 21.992955 32.070091 47.162056 69.164908 104.112574
2025-03-02 9.293690 13.953071 20.785254 31.646715 48.694469 74.779882 118.395917
2025-03-09 8.305649 12.928949 19.973438 31.632691 50.735075 81.292891 134.872868
2025-03-16 7.470561 12.017889 19.193250 31.515279 52.516155 87.518876 151.660820
2025-03-23 7.022162 11.657095 19.219675 32.675354 56.498635 97.817255 176.858142
2025-03-30 6.450373 11.017561 18.699921 32.818349 58.702802 105.269967 197.961854
2025-04-06 5.808930 10.182504 17.746020 32.063513 59.166992 109.598616 213.740604
2025-04-13 5.289226 9.501759 16.980796 31.542541 59.963656 114.581488 231.425307
2025-04-20 5.031454 9.280454 17.041026 32.618066 64.045830 126.601973 265.702646
2025-04-27 4.847846 9.177966 17.311547 34.138442 69.228284 141.572037 308.806279
2025-05-04 4.551376 8.826581 17.067924 34.602929 72.311743 152.650122 345.258139
2025-05-11 4.159025 8.244255 16.307670 33.909916 72.846366 158.344499 370.341370
2025-05-18 3.822599 7.738636 15.646022 33.340795 73.566395 164.526883 397.598959
2025-05-25 3.534531 7.302404 15.079864 32.907152 74.525298 171.367824 427.619619
2025-06-01 3.312701 6.982561 14.723959 32.895553 76.450798 180.729697 465.664155
2025-06-08 3.102308 6.665801 14.341069 32.774384 78.095232 189.633958 504.061160
2025-06-15 3.013744 6.607361 14.519000 33.984119 83.146780 207.730587 570.790718
2025-06-22 2.852580 6.369513 14.268115 34.133386 85.555648 219.405142 621.568506
2025-06-29 2.640726 5.994964 13.665461 33.346609 85.446339 224.420106 653.838125